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More and less of this
In which a connection between ENSO and solar cycles is posited, forecast and then, sometime later, sort of rejected. Continue reading
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Index to impact to index
Reading a paper looking at the definition of extreme events as relates to the impacts on climate vulnerable communities. Continue reading
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It never rains…
In which I look at a paper and weep. Continue reading
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Synecdoche ain’t okey dokey
Analysing extreme events, as important as they are, can only every provide a partial view of climate-related impacts. Continue reading
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He can’t keep his steering in his ramshackle go-kart
Graphs are a handy way to summarise data, but a summary necessarily leaves something out. Continue reading
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So right it’s wrong
New forecast method for El Nino and La Nina using deep learning might be too good to be true, Continue reading
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Surge protection
Pondering the limitations (once again) of purely statistical techniques for understanding global temperature change. Continue reading
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When is an Arctic bias not an Arctic bias?
Wondering whether a warm bias in the Arctic in ERA5 affects our estimates of global temperature change. Continue reading
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Very exciting newish global temperature dataset
A new global temperature datasets from NOAA, now with neurons. Continue reading