climate
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More and less of this
In which a connection between ENSO and solar cycles is posited, forecast and then, sometime later, sort of rejected. Continue reading
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Index to impact to index
Reading a paper looking at the definition of extreme events as relates to the impacts on climate vulnerable communities. Continue reading
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It never rains…
In which I look at a paper and weep. Continue reading
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Synecdoche ain’t okey dokey
Analysing extreme events, as important as they are, can only every provide a partial view of climate-related impacts. Continue reading
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He can’t keep his steering in his ramshackle go-kart
Graphs are a handy way to summarise data, but a summary necessarily leaves something out. Continue reading
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When is an Arctic bias not an Arctic bias?
Wondering whether a warm bias in the Arctic in ERA5 affects our estimates of global temperature change. Continue reading
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A perspective is just like your point of view
Wondering about the relationship between research and operations. Continue reading
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Seeping
This is quite an old paper – Seepage: Climate change denial and its effect on the scientific community – dating back to 2015, but it popped up today so I dusted off my old notes. It contends that the “pause” was a contrarian idea that “seeped” into proper scientific discourse where it didn’t belong. It’s… Continue reading
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Paris disagreements
The recent nonsense paper that divines global temperature change from a handful of sea sponges has at least found a pressure point in the argument about the Paris Agreement goals. By quoting a number comfortably past the lower of the two Paris limits – global temperature changes is ~1.7°C above pre-industrial according to the deeply… Continue reading
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Flawed communication
A paper came out recently in Nature Climate Change. It presents a series of global mean temperature going back to 1700. Their series shows that global temperature had already reached 1.7 ± 0.1 °C above pre-industrial levels by 2020. We have gone whooshing past 1.5°C without even realising it. Huge – as they say – if true. Of… Continue reading