statistics
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So right it’s wrong
New forecast method for El Nino and La Nina using deep learning might be too good to be true, Continue reading
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Surge protection
Pondering the limitations (once again) of purely statistical techniques for understanding global temperature change. Continue reading
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Smoothly does it
Scherrer S.C et al. (2023) Estimating trends and the current climate mean in a changing climate. Climate Services vol 33. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100428 Scherrer et al. brings together a few of my favourite things: data smoothing, climate normals, and 1.5°C. Whiskers on kittens they are not. The three are inter-related and specific cases of something that’s quite… Continue reading